Is the Price of Semiconductors Driving the Nasdaq?

Ross Silver • July 9, 2026

A semiconductor is a material that has electric conductivity between that of a conductor and an insulator, allowing it to control the flow of electrical current. They are the foundation of modern technology. They power smartphones, computers, cars, gaming devices, and servers that support Artificial Intelligence (AI). In the last few years, the price of semiconductors has gone through the roof. The increase in price cannot be attributed to one single cause, but a combination of several factors. 


One of the major reasons for the price hike is the rapid growth of AI. According to the research firm, Garter, global semiconductor revenue is expected to exceed $1.3 trillion in 2026. This is a 64% increase from 2025.
AI-related semiconductors alone are expected to account for roughly 30% of total semiconductor revenue. According to Garter, Dynamic Random Access Memory (DRAM) prices will rise 125% in 2026. Additionally,  NAND (Not AND) flash memory is  a non-volatile storage technology that retains information without a power source. NAND is  commonly found in USB flash drives, memory cards, and SSD cards. These prices are expected to rise 234% in 2026. Both DRAM and NAND prices significantly affect the price of AI semiconductors. 


The rising costs of raw materials is also a contributing factor to the increasing semiconductor prices. Broad-based increases in the costs of precious metals, packaging materials, energy, and logistics mean most manufacturers report they can no longer absorb these expenses internally. Therefore, manufacturers have chosen to pass the costs onto the purchasers. 


Finally, the increase in demand for semiconductors is rapidly driving up their costs. There is a booming demand for AI data centers, which require high current and high power products. The increase in demand for chips in electric vehicles is also contributing to the surge in semiconductor prices. Industrial automation in various industries is further driving the need for semiconductor components. 


How is the increased demand for semiconductors and their rising prices affecting the Nasdaq? The Nasdaq, the traditional index of technological innovation, has evolved into a barometer of AI confidence. In 2025, AI companies captured 80% of all U.S. Stock Market gains. 
The recent rally reflects a shift in market psychology: initial uncertainty regarding the profitability of AI applications is giving way to the realization that this technology is essential for any business's survival. The market is no longer just investing in the promise of AI, but in the tangible benefits that companies are reaping from automation. 


On July 1, 2026, semiconductor stocks declined after a first half surge exceeding 80%. The pull back reflected investors quarter -end positioning and profit-taking rather than a change in fundamentals. The retreat concentrated in the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which fell 0.66% to 26,040.03.  However, on July 6, 2026, the Nasdaq gained 1.12% as semiconductor stocks were bouncing back. This advance indicates that market leadership remains concentrated in AI-linked technologies and semiconductor stocks. 


In general, the trend illustrates that there is a positive correlation between the price of semiconductors and the Nasdaq. When the price of semiconductors increases, then the Nasdaq tends to remain strong. When the price of semiconductor decreases, then the Nasdaq tends to fall. As the demand for AI increases, the indication is that the Nasdaq should remain strong. 





Tickers to consider: 
  JTAI, PPCB, FBRX, ATLX, BMNR, AGPU, GLND

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